LIVERPOOL and Newcastle United go head-to-head in Sunday’s Carabao Cup final at Wembley.
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Liverpool vs Newcastle preview
The first piece of silverware of the season is on the line this Sunday as Liverpool and Newcastle United go head-to-head in the Carabao Cup final at Wembley Stadium.
Liverpool, the most successful club in the competition’s history, enter the final as odds-on favourites at 5/8 to retain their crown.
However, their midweek Champions League exit at the hands of Paris Saint-Germain may have taken a toll, with the Reds falling on penalties after a gruelling 120-minute battle.
While hopes of an historic treble have been dashed, manager Arne Slot still has the chance to secure a Premier League and League Cup double in his debut season.
Many of his squad are no strangers to success in this competition, having lifted the trophy twice in the last three years (2022, 2024).
Liverpool can also take confidence from their dominant recent record against Newcastle.
The Magpies are winless in their last 17 encounters with the Reds, including their clash at Anfield just 18 days ago. Newcastle have suffered 12 defeats in that spell, conceding 38 goals.
However, Liverpool will be without key defenders Trent Alexander-Arnold and Conor Bradley, meaning Jarell Quansah is set to fill in at right-back.
Underdogs Newcastle are also dealing with significant absences as they aim to end a 70-year wait for major silverware.
Winger Anthony Gordon is suspended following his red card against Brighton in the FA Cup, while Lewis Hall is sidelined until next season with a foot injury.
The Magpies will be eager to make amends for their 2023 final defeat to Manchester United.
While they return to London buoyed by their recent victory over West Ham United at the London Stadium, they had lost three of their previous four matches before that win.
Liverpool vs Newcastle preview betting odds
- Liverpool 5/8 with William Hill – CLAIM HERE
- Draw 16/5 with Betfred – CLAIM HERE
- Newcastle 4/1 with BetMGM – CLAIM HERE
Odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Liverpool vs Newcastle preview betting tips and predictions
Win to Nil
Liverpool’s dominance over Newcastle United is nothing short of remarkable. The Reds have won 12 of their last 17 encounters with the Magpies and have not suffered defeat against them since 2015.
Arne Slot’s side are no strangers to the big occasion, having contested multiple Wembley finals in the past decade—winning the majority. Their attacking prowess is evident, boasting 14 more goals than any other Premier League side this season (69), while only Arsenal have conceded fewer shots on target, goals, and have a lower expected goals conceded (xGC).
With Newcastle missing key players, Liverpool will look to assert control from the outset. The absence of Anthony Gordon is particularly significant, as no Newcastle player comes close to the 49 chances he has created this season. Meanwhile, Lewis Hall, their fourth-highest creator with 34, is also unavailable.
In total, Newcastle are without two players responsible for nearly 30% of their Premier League chances this season. While Alexander Isak remains a clinical finisher, he is likely to find himself starved of service.
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First goalscorer and correct score predictions
Liverpool vs Newcastle
- First goalscorer: Mohamed Salah at 11/4 with talkSPORT BET – CLAIM HERE
- Correct score: 2-0 at 15/2 with Betfred – CLAIM HERE
Assist
Dominik Szoboszlai looks a generous price at 5/1 to register an assist in Sunday’s final.
The Liverpool midfielder, 24, has recorded six assists in 39 appearances this season – though that tally could easily have been higher given the number of chances he has created.
The Hungarian international has fashioned 40 opportunities for his teammates in the 2024-25 league campaign, with nine classified as big chances – a figure bettered only by Mohamed Salah and Trent Alexander-Arnold.
Szoboszlai also ranks third for touches in the opposition penalty area and has an expected assists (xA) figure of 4.19.
Salah, at 9/4, may be the safer bet, but Szoboszlai offers real value. When these sides met just 18 days ago, he provided two key passes, got on the scoresheet and was named player of the match.
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